Andy Newton’s ITV Racing Tips (and Stats) On Saturday From Lingfield, Ascot and Haydock

See Andy Newton’s Saturday ITV Horse Racing tips on 9th May – including 1-2-3 best bets and key stats for the main races. 

Hot on the heels of the midweek Chester May Meeting action, there are NINE more LIVE ITV Racing scheduled races on Saturday from Ascot, Lingfield and Haydock.

Andy Newton’s Saturday ITV Horse Racing Tips: Saturday 9th May 2026 

• 12:55 Lingfield – MORCAR (e/w)
• 1:15 Haydock – HELNWEIN 
• 1:28 Lingfield – PRIZELAND
• 1:45 Ascot – ALOBAYYAH
• 1:58 Lingfield – MALTESE CROSS 
• 2:20 Ascot – KHAFIZ (NB)
• 2:40 Lingfield – ROYAL VELVET
• 2:55 Ascot – VALEDICTORY
• 3:15 Lingfield – BACK IS BLACK (NAP)

PLUS – also catch me this week (and every week) on the popular FINAL FURLONG PODCAST, with host Emmet Kennedy as we look at the best of the weekend action.

Lingfield Saturday ITV Horse Racing Tips: Derby and Oaks Trials The Focus

12:55 Lingfield William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl4 (4yo+ 0-85) 1m2f ITV

A tricky opening ITV race from Lingfield, so a chance is taken on last year’s winner MORCAR going in again.

This Richard Hannon-trained 6yold landed the spoils 12 months ago off the same mark (78) and even though he’s not got a 3lb claimer on his year – he does have Joe Levey riding, who has a solid 33% SR riding 4+yolds at the Surrey track.

A recent run at Newbury would have blow away the cobwebs and that was also a first run since a wind op, so can be expected to improve.

Noble Horizon, with Tom Marquand riding, and recent Yarmouth scorer Salmanaca City for James Fanshawe are also respected.

🥇MORCAR (e/w)
🥈NOBLE HORIZON 
🥉SALAMANCA CITY 

Key Stats 📈

• 2 previous runnings
• Morcar won the race last season
• Trainers Ralph Beckett and Richard Hannon have won the race
• Trainer James Fanshawe is 2 from 5 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
• Trainer Gary and Josh Moore are 5 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
• Trainer Charlie Johnston is 2 from 6 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
• Tom Marquand is 3-7 (40%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
• Joe Leavy is 6-18 (33%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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1:28 Lingfield William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m3½f ITV

The last winner of the Lingfield Oaks Trial to land the big one at Epsom was Anapurna in 2019 – and before her Ramruma (199) and Lady Carla (1996).

So, it remains to be seen if this year’s renewal will produce another, but regardless I was impressed with PRIZELAND the last day at Lingfield (AW) and is chanced again here.

Yes, this is a step up for this Andrew Balding runner, but she won with bundles in-hand last time to suggest she’s an above average filly.

The unbeaten Romantic Symphony for Godolphin is the likely jolly and the one to beat after a good win at Kempton last time.

While Aidan O’Brien has won two of the last 10 and sends Cameo and Bloom – both should improve for their last runs and for the longer trip.

But I’ll stick with ‘Prize’ to ‘Land’ this race for the first time for the Balding camp.

🥇PRIZELAND
🥈ROMANTIC SYMPHONY 
🥉CAMEO 

Key Stats 📈

• 20/22 – Had won no more than once before
• 19/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
• 19/22 – Had no more than 3 career runs
• 18/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
• 15/22 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (1 winner (Anapurna 2019, two seconds)
• 12/22 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
• 12/22 – Having first run of the season
• 11/22 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
• 10/22 – Won last time out
• 8/22 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (5) last time out
• 8/22 – Winning favourites
• 6/22 – Had won over 1m2f before
• 5/22 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
• 5/22 – Winners from stall 5
• 4/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 9)
• 4/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
• 3/22 – Irish-trained winners
• 2/22 – Trained by William Haggas
• Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 2016 and 2025
• 9 of the last 11 winners drawn 5 or lower

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1:58 Lingfield William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m3½f ITV

Just the one recent winner of this race has gone onto win the Epsom Derby – Anthony Van Dyck (2019) – and before him High Rise in 1998.

This is another race Aidan O’Brien has a good record in with 7 wins in the last 23, so his Isaac Newton, with Ryan Moore riding will be popular.

But he’s hardly set the world alight yet, is 100/1 for the Derby and despite having a ‘great name’ I can’t side with him.

Godolphin’s unbeaten Maho Bay, who is 33/1 for the Derby, will be the likely jolly after an impressive win at Newmarket last time.

But the Charlie Appleby form at the moment is a small worry.

So I think MALTESE CROSS could be the answer here.

This William Haggas runner impressed me with his win at Newbury last time – despite only getting home by a neck.

That win last month, was his first since 7 months so will improve for it and the way he stayed on over 1m2f, suggests the longer trip today will be a big plus too.

Oh, and ff the runners in here, he’s actually the shortest in the Derby market too at 20/1.

🥇MALTESE CROSS 
🥈MAHO BAY 
🥉ISAAC NEWTON 

Key Stats 📈

• 23/23 – Had won no more than 3 times
• 19/23 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 18/23 – Finished 4^th or better last time out
• 17/23 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019
• 17/23 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
• 17/23 – Favourites placed
• 15/23 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
• 10/23 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
• 8/23 – Won last time out
• 7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
• 7/23 – Winning favourites
• 5/23 – Ran at Newbury last time out
• 5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (4 of the last 11)
• High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby
• 6 of the last 11 winners drawn 5, 6 or 7

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2:40 Lingfield William Hill Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Dash Of Azure and Copacabana Sands will be players here on their best form – especially the last-named being the top-rated off 105.

But both are also coming here off 200+ day breaks and so the potentially fitter ROYAL VELVET is the call, who only ran 23 days ago.

That run was a winning one, when scoring by an easy 2 3/4 lengths in a 7f handicap.

Hiked up 8lbs for that, but is into a G3 here, so that doesn’t really matter as we are off level weights now.

This will be her first run outside handicap company but I think she’s certainly deserved a crack at this higher level.

And William Buick gets on well with her – winning three of the four times he’s ridden this William Knight runner.

🥇ROYAL VELVET
🥈COPACABANA SANDS 
🥉DASH OF AZURE 

Key Stats 📈

• 19/19 – Aged 5 or younger
• 16/19 – Won between 1-4 times before
• 15/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
• 14/19 – Had won over 7f before
• 13/19 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
• 11/19 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
• 11/19 – Placed favourites
• 11/19– Irish-bred
• 8/19 – Won last time out
• 8/19 – Drawn in stall 3 (5) or 7 (3)
• 7/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
• 6/19 – Non UK-trained winners
• 4/19 – Winning favourites
• 3/19 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
• 6 of the last 16 winners returned double-figures in the betting
• Trainer Marco Botti has won the last 2 runnings
• Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
• 6 of the last 10 winners from stalls 1 (3) or 3 (3)
• Great Generation won the race in 2024 & 2025

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3:15 Lingfield William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7½f ITV

The two Dragons – The Dragon King and Dragon Leader, who are weirdly both trained by Clive Cox – can claims.

As does the only course winner in the field, Apotheosis.

But, for me, it’s hard to get away from the James Fanshawe runner BACK IS BLACK.

This 4yold has been a tad frustrating after five top 5 finishes since his last win just over a year ago at Newbury.

However, he returned with a good 4th last month, on what was also his first run back from being gelded.

But the winner of that last race – Linwood – looks useful and a potential Listed or Group horse, so it was still a good effort in my book.

He’s also eased slightly in grade here and the Fanshawe yard also boast a 29% SR with their runners here at Lingers.

🥇BACK IS BLACK
🥈THE DRAGON KING 
🥉APOTHEOSIS

Key Stats 📈

• Trainer James Fanshawe is 2-5 (40%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
• Tom Marquand is 3-7 (40%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
• Joe Leavy is 6-18 (33%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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Ascot Saturday ITV Horse Racing Tips: Key Stats To Solve Victoria Cup 

1:45 Ascot Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% British EBF Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

Not the best race for the favourites in recent years – with only 2 of the last 19 going in, so likely jolly Zgharta has this stat to overcome.

But I think the William Haggas runner ALOBAYYAH is the slightly better value here.

This Ghaiyyath filly was a good winner on debut at Yarmouth back in October 2024 but has clearly had some issues since with only two runs.

She was down the field in the G3 Atalanta Stakes at Sandown last August and probably didn’t stay the 1m2f trip on the AW at Newcastle last time.

Back on the grass here and back in trip will help and Billy Loughnane catches the eye booked to ride, in a race the Haggas team also won in 2018.

Of the rest, Bella Perla could outrun her odds for the Tom Clover camp that often do well here.

🥇ALOBAYYAH
🥈BELLA PERLA 
🥉ZGHARTA 

Key Stats 📈

• 18/19 – Failed to win last time out
• 17/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
• 17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
• 16/19 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
• 15/19 – Had won over a mile before
• 14/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
• 13/19 – Aged 4 years-old
• 12/19 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
• 11/19 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
• 11/19 – Favourites that finished 4^th or better
• 10/19 – Rated between 82-87
• 10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 4/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
• 2/19 – Winning favourites (none in the last 11)
• 9 of the last 11 aged 4 or 5 years-old

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2:20 Ascot Carey Group Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 7f ITV

Another race for the trusty pin, with 29 runners heading to post.

The stats tell us horses aged 5 or younger have won 18 of the last 22, while we’ve also only seen 1 winning favourite in the last 16 runnings.

The Wizard Of Eye won this in 2024 and is back on the same mark so has to be noted from gate 26.

Tribal Chief caught my eye when 3rd in the Lincoln last time and is also back on the same mark, plus has man of the moment Billy Loughnane riding.

But the two main players here for me are KHAFIZ, who I thought ran well on his return run (5th) at Haydock last time.

That was his first run for Ed Bethell too after coming from Roger Varian, so they should know a bit more about him.

Then, despite not ticking the age stat, the final pick is the old boy HICKORY, who is back aged 8.

He won this race last season and is also now 10lbs higher, but what we do know is that he loves it here at Ascot.

Winning here twice, running 4th in 2024 in this race too and his last four runs here read 1-3-1-2.

🥇KHAFIZ (e/w)
🥈HICKORY
🥉TRIBAL CHIEF 

Key Stats 📈

• 18/22 – Aged 5 or younger
• 18/22 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
• 18/22– Had won no more than 3 times
• 17/22 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
• 17/22 – Had won over 7f before
• 14/22 – Unplaced favourites
• 14/22 – Carried 8-10 or less
• 13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
• 12/22 – Had run at Ascot before (6 winners)
• 10/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 6/22 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
• 4/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 16 year
• 11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
• Hickory won the race in 2025
• The Wizard Of Eye won the race in 2024
• Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

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2:55 Ascot Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Italy Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 1m4f ITV

Opportunity is respected and Classical Allusion, who ran second to Constitution Hill at Kempton back in March should be better now dropped back in trip after finding 2m too far last time.

However, it’s hard to get away from VALEDICTORY here for the ‘Boys In Blue’ after an eyecatching second at Newbury the last day.

That came over 1m2f but he ran on well at the finish to suggest this step up to 1m4f will be just what the doctor ordered.

While that form looks solid, with the winner Rathgar coming out and winning again since.

This will only be his fifth career run, so is still learning his trade.

Billy Loughnane rides too and so Valedictory can deliver the perfect speech here.

🥇VALEDICTORY
🥈CLASSICAL ALLUSION 
🥉OPPORTUNITY

Key Stats 📈

• 13/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
• 13/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
• 12/13 – Won 2 or 3 times before
• 11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
• 11/13 – Carried 9-4 or less
• 10/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
• 10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
• 9/13 – Rated between 86 and 91
• 9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
• 5/13 – Drawn in stalls 4-8 (inc)
• 5/13 – Won on reappearance run (5 of last 8)
• 5/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
• 5/13 – Horses from stall 11 placed (2 winners)
• 5/13 – Winning favourites (4 of last 8)
• 2/13 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 9)
• 2/13 – Ridden by Charles Bishop (2 of the last 7)
• Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has won 2 of the last 7

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Haydock Saturday ITV Horse Racing Tips: Swinton Hurdle The Feature

1:15 Haydock Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m7½f ITV

I’m not convinced about Tellherthename, despite looking a bit unlucky in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham last time.

The Skelton’s try the hood this time and does look the sort that they can get back to form – but I still don’t think he’s much value.

CD winner Dance And Glance was 5th in the race last year but is now 10lbs higher and Gibbs Island is the only other proven CD winner in the field.

But a chance is take on on HELNWEIN, who was runner-up 12 months ago.

Yes, he’s 4lbs higher this time and his last win came in April 2024, plus fell the last day.

But he gave the winner of that recent race Indemnity 8lbs there and is now getting 2lbs.

While I think he’ll be much better suited by the more galloping Haydock track – over the tight turns of Plumpton last time.

🥇HELNWEIN (e/w)
🥈GIBBS ISLAND 
🥉INDEMNITY

Key Stats 📈

• 22/22 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
• 22/22 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
• 20/22 – Carried 11-5 or less
• 21/22 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
• 18/22 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
• 18/22 – Didn’t win last time out
• 14/22 – Carried 10-9 or less
• 14/22 – Irish bred
• 13/22 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
• 12/22 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 11/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
• 9/22 – Returned a double-figure price
• 8/22 – Ran at Aintree last time out
• 6/22 – Winning favourites
• 5/22 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
• 4/22 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 12 runnings)
• 3/22 – Ran at Ayr last time out
• 2/22 – Ridden by Adam Wedge (2 of the last 7)
• 2/22 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
• 1/22 – Irish-trained winners
• Trainer Olly Murphy has won 2 of the last 5 runnings