Thistledown Picks Today: Can Superwolf Make It Seven Straight?

The Bottom Line

  • Who Dey (1:20pm ET, 8/5) — the class act of Best of Ohio day, banker material in the Governor’s Buckeye Cup.
  • Superwolf (2:20pm ET, 5/2) — chasing a seventh straight win in the Honey Jay Stakes.
  • Breakheart Pass (12:45pm ET, 2/1) — flew home on debut and can take the Cleveland Kindergarten.
  • Motownsnojoke (1:50pm ET, 2/1) — the one to beat in the Miss Ohio Stakes.

Meeting Context

It’s the biggest afternoon of the summer at Thistledown, the North Randall oval just outside Cleveland, as the track stages its Best of Ohio showcase — five $100,000 stakes for Ohio-breds packed into the first five races, all wrapped up in a 50-cent Pick 5.

First post is 12:10pm ET and all eight races are on the dirt. The forecast is warm — mid-80s — with sunshine but a thunderstorm risk later, so a fast track is expected for the stakes action early on the card.

Odds quoted are the morning line and correct at time of writing. If you’re building a full Saturday across the East, our Saratoga picks and Ellis Park picks are also live.

12:10 — Best of Ohio Pay the Man Stakes (1 1/8 Miles, Fillies & Mares)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
1 Silver Kiss Chelsey Keiser David Wolochuk 3/1
3 Candlelight Hours T. D. Houghton James R. Jackson 7/2
9 Lionistic Luis Raul Rivera Jeffrey A. Radosevich 4/1
5 Striking Lady Jason Simpson Ricardo Bailey 5/1
4 La Artista Scott Spieth S. Matthew Kintz 6/1
2 Here’s the Spider Luis Alberto Batista Edward Fernandez 8/1
7 Derby Day Kiss Santiago Gonzalez Robert C. Cline 12/1
6 Jac’s Cocoabella David J. Haldar Ivan Vazquez 15/1
8 Banana Pudding Jose A. Bracho Gary L. Johnson 15/1

The Favourites: Silver Kiss heads the morning line at 3/1 for the Wolochuk barn, with the consistent Candlelight Hours next in at 7/2 over this nine-furlong trip.

The Value: Striking Lady at 5/1 has tactical speed and could get first run on the closers from mid-pack.

The Verdict: Lionistic is a multiple winner over this main track and the Radosevich stable wins races here in bunches. At 4/1 she’s the play.

12:45 — Best of Ohio Cleveland Kindergarten Stakes (6 Furlongs, 2-Year-Olds)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
8 Book Value Erik Barbaran Robert M. Gorham 9/5
5 Breakheart Pass Santiago Gonzalez Robert C. Cline 2/1
3 Battle Ready Fernando De La Cruz Robert M. Gorham 5/1
4 Skedazzle Victor R. Fernandez Robert M. Gorham 8/1
7 Empire Vybz Jerome J. Innis Jason DaCosta 8/1
1 Snitch Fernando Salazar Becerra Robert M. Gorham 10/1
2 Southern Dawn Luis Raul Rivera James R. Jackson 15/1
6 Flashy Idol David J. Haldar Nestor R. Rivera 20/1

The Favourites: Bob Gorham saddles half the field, headed by 9/5 chalk Book Value — a juvenile with a slice of history already, having become the first winner for freshman sire and 2021 Kentucky Derby hero Mandaloun back in June.

The Value: Stablemate Battle Ready at 5/1 gives the Gorham quartet a serious second string.

The Verdict: Breakheart Pass came home like a rocket on debut for Bob Cline and the step to six furlongs looks made for him. Marginal call over Book Value, but he gets the nod.

1:20 — Best of Ohio Governor’s Buckeye Cup Stakes (1 1/4 Miles)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
4 Who Dey Irving Moncada Thomas Drury, Jr. 8/5
6 Ekati’s Way Victor R. Fernandez Robert C. Cline 3/1
1 Fair and Square Rocco Bowen Timothy E. Hamm 4/1
3 Silence Jefferson Skerrett Jeffrey Skerrett 6/1
5 Tantrum Luis Raul Rivera Timothy E. Hamm 8/1
7 Private Moment David J. Haldar Mary L. Hurley 12/1
8 Leavetheninetynine Jose A. Bracho Jeffrey A. Radosevich 15/1
2 That’s the Way Erik Barbaran Jeffrey A. Radosevich 20/1

The Favourites: The ten-furlong centerpiece revolves around Who Dey, the Thomas Drury Jr. shipper who has been running well in far deeper waters at Churchill Downs. He’s 8/5 and hard to pick against; Ekati’s Way is second choice at 3/1.

The Value: Fair and Square has won this very prize before for Tim Hamm and 4/1 underestimates a proven stayer on the day that matters most to Ohio connections.

The Verdict: Who Dey is the banker on the card — the Pick 5 single, plain and simple.

1:50 — Best of Ohio Miss Ohio Stakes (6 Furlongs, 2-Year-Old Fillies)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
7 Motownsnojoke David J. Haldar Justin Radosevich 2/1
4 Panda Listen Fernando De La Cruz Brendan P. Walsh 5/2
6 Maddy’s Fury Rocco Bowen Timothy E. Hamm 5/1
8 Chicabee Summer Pauly John Corriveau 6/1
3 Time Traveler Luis Raul Rivera James R. Jackson 8/1
2 Box Office Hit Erik Barbaran Robert M. Gorham 10/1
1 Michelle My Belle Jose A. Bracho Jeffrey A. Radosevich 12/1
5 Bea Bold Chelsey Keiser Timothy E. Hamm 15/1
9 Ice Bee Santiago Gonzalez Yoni R. Orantes 30/1

The Favourites: Motownsnojoke sets the standard at 2/1, while it’s eye-catching to see Grade 1-winning trainer Brendan Walsh ship in Panda Listen (5/2) for a state-bred stakes.

The Value: Box Office Hit at 10/1 demolished her rivals by six and a quarter lengths on debut here in July — the first winner for freshman sire Idol — and is overpriced on that evidence.

The Verdict: Motownsnojoke to hold off Panda Listen, with Box Office Hit the exacta saver underneath.

2:20 — Best of Ohio Honey Jay Stakes (6 Furlongs)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
3 Silent Rule Brandon Tapara Jay P. Bernardini 2/1
8 Superwolf Erik Barbaran Robert M. Gorham 5/2
2 Boots Malone Fernando Salazar Becerra Robert M. Gorham 5/1
1 Empire’s Fire Jose A. Bracho Jeffrey A. Radosevich 6/1
4 Fortissimo Rocco Bowen Timothy E. Hamm 8/1
7 Diamond Dust Israel O. Rodriguez Scooter Davis 10/1
9 Win Herbie Win Victor R. Fernandez Robert C. Cline 12/1
5 Stage Name Angel I. Diaz Nestor R. Rivera 15/1
6 Sadie’s Ghost T. D. Houghton Loren Huepenbecker 30/1

The Favourites: Silent Rule is the 2/1 morning-line choice for Jay Bernardini, but the story of the race is Superwolf (5/2), the Cleveland Gold Cup winner who arrives on a six-race winning streak for the Gorham barn.

The Value: Empire’s Fire at 6/1 has the early lick to make this an honest test and could hang around for a piece.

The Verdict: Streaks end eventually — but not here. Superwolf makes it seven straight.

2:50 — Allowance (1 Mile, Fillies & Mares)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
2 Mia’s Go Alexander Chavez Nestor R. Rivera 8/5
3 Creator of Magic Charle Oliveros Eric R. Reed 2/1
5 Dos Amores Erik Barbaran Michael L. Rone 3/1
1 Vespera Luis Raul Rivera Jeffrey A. Radosevich 6/1
4 Cowgirl Chic Bailey Weatherly Eric R. Reed 10/1
6 Unchained Spirit Humberto Haldar Ricardo Bailey 20/1

The Favourites: A compact field of six after the stakes fireworks. Mia’s Go (8/5) and Creator of Magic (2/1) — from the barn of Rich Strike’s trainer Eric Reed — dominate the market.

The Value: Dos Amores at 3/1 is no forlorn hope if the top two take each other on early.

The Verdict: Mia’s Go for Nestor Rivera and Alexander Chavez, a combination that needs no introduction at this oval.

3:20 — $5,000 Claiming (5 1/2 Furlongs)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
4 Dream On Baby Jason Simpson Ricardo Gonzalez 2/1
2 Brewing Humberto Haldar Ivan Calderon 5/2
6 Hey Cue T. D. Houghton Ricardo Bailey 7/2
5 Florida Gator Deshawn L. Parker Johanna Urieta 5/1
3 Making Me Crazy Brandon Tapara Joseph P. Mahan 8/1
1 Otis Otis Otis Rocco Bowen Justin Radosevich 10/1
7 Little Vaquero Jefferson Skerrett Donaciano Gonzalez 15/1

The Favourites: Dream On Baby (2/1) and Brewing (5/2) fight out favoritism in a typical bottom-level dash.

The Value: Florida Gator at 5/1 gets the services of Deshawn Parker, one of the winningest riders in North American history — always respected at this level.

The Verdict: Dream On Baby, but this is a race to watch rather than bet heavily.

3:50 — Allowance (5 1/2 Furlongs, Fillies & Mares)

No Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
3 Roughnthepassenger Rocco Bowen Timothy E. Hamm 9/5
6 Bend My Ear Mauro Cedillo David Wolochuk 2/1
2 Honduras Passion Luis Antonio Gonzalez Kim A. Puhl 3/1
4 Magic Moon Chelsey Keiser David Wolochuk 6/1
1 Suzie Q’s Sister Luis Alberto Batista Jason DaCosta 8/1
5 Lady Midshipman Humberto Haldar Jason DaCosta 15/1

The Favourites: The finale is a sprint allowance for the girls, with Roughnthepassenger (9/5) giving Tim Hamm and Rocco Bowen a strong closing hand ahead of Bend My Ear (2/1).

The Value: Honduras Passion at 3/1 has speed to burn and could prove hard to reel in over the abbreviated trip.

The Verdict: Roughnthepassenger to send the Hamm barn home happy. If you fancy more late-afternoon action, our Delaware Park picks run deep into the evening.

Accumulator

Our Best of Ohio four-timer: Breakheart Pass (12:45), Who Dey (1:20), Motownsnojoke (1:50) and Superwolf (2:20). At morning-line prices the parlay pays around 80/1 — a small stake goes a long way on Ohio’s biggest day.

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