See below our key 1000 Guineas trends and stats that you can apply to the final Newmarket runners on Sunday.
Meaning you can find the best profiles for the ITV Racing contest based on past winners and history that’s built up over the last 24 years.
Including key 1000 Guineas trends like only one winning favourite in the last nine runnings and 15 of the last 24 coming from outside the top three in the market.
The Ultimate 1000 Guineas 2025 Betting Trends
Here’s exactly what the stats from the last 24 years at Newmarket tell us:
- 22/24 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
- 18/24 – Won a Group race before
- 16/24 – Won between 2-3 times before
- 16/24 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
- 15/24 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
- 15/24 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
- 15/24 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
- 14/24 – Won their previous race
- 14/24 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
- 12/24 – Returned a double-figure price
- 11/24 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
- 11/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 11/24 – Favourites unplaced
- 10/24 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
- 9/24 – Irish-trained winners
- 7/24 – Previous Group One winners
- 6/24 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
- 5/24 – Won by the favourite (1 in the last 9)
- 4/24 – Won by a US bred horse
- 4/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 3/24 – French-trained winners
- Only two horses placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
- 11 of the last 18 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
- The average winning SP in the last 24 years is 12/1
Key 1000 Guineas Trends Takeaways:
- Only two horses have placed from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
- But last year’s winner Desert Flower did win from the lowest gate
- 11 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inclusive)
- The average winning SP over the last 24 years sits at a juicy 12/1
(Note: You can also check out our 2000 Guineas trends and stats here).
Trainer, Jockey, and Owner Highlights:
- Aidan O’Brien has trained 7 winners – Virginia Waters (2005), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019), Love (2020), Mother Earth (2021)
- Owner Shadwell have won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000, 2009)
- Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 4 times (2012, 2015, 2016, 2020)
- Godolphin have won the race 5 times (1998, 2002, 2011, 2023, 2025)
The 1000 Guineas Can Sometimes Throw Up A Big-Priced Winner
Let’s kick things off with a massive 1000 Guineas trend: this race absolutely loves throwing up a big-priced winner.
Okay, last year – we saw Desert Flower win at Evs – so you are probably thinking – what the hell is going on here?
However, in 2024 the Roger Varian-trained Elmalka stunned the field, crossing the line at a whopping 28/1.
And that’s no fluke. Since 2018, we’ve also seen Billesdon Brook score at an incredible 66/1, Cachet at 16/1 in 2022, and Hermosa at 14/1 in 2019.
The reality? We’ve only seen one winning 1000 Guineas favourite since 2016-and there’s been only two in the last 15 renewals.
The Curse of the Favourite
Before last year’s winner Desert Flower rewarded favourite backers – you had to go back to Minding in 2016 as the next winning 1000 Guineas market leader.
While since 2002, there have been a grand total of five victorious “jollies” in this fillies’ Classic: Special Duty (2010), Natagora (2008), Finsceal Beo (2007), Minding (2016) and Desert Flower (2025).
What does this mean for you?
If you’re looking to take on the favourite in 2026 – history is firmly on your side.
With 15 of the last 24 winners coming from entirely outside the top three in the betting, there is an absolute mountain of evidence suggesting you shouldn’t be afraid to back a bigger-priced horse.
Aidan O’Brien: Chasing History With Seven Wins
Unlike the 2000 Guineas, the brilliant Aidan O’Brien isn’t quite the all-time leading handler in the 1000 Guineas-but he is getting dangerously close.
With seven victories in the second English Classic of the season, O’Brien is hunting down Robert Robson’s historic record of nine wins, set all the way back in the 1800s.
O’Brien first struck gold here with Virginia Waters in 2005, and his most recent triumph came with Mother Earth in 2021. Tellingly, he’s won five of the last ten renewals.
Aidan O’Brien’s 1000 Guineas Roll of Honour:
- 2005 – Virginia Waters
- 2012 – Homecoming Queen
- 2016 – Minding
- 2017 – Winter
- 2019 – Hermosa
- 2020 – Love
- 2021 – Mother Earth
The Draw: Why Stalls 2-8 Are the Sweet Spot
The next vital trend to keep in mind is the draw, which we’ll officially know on Friday, May 1st.
A striking 61% of the last 18 winners-11 fillies in total-broke from stalls 2 through 8.
Now, a quick word of caution: the last three winners actually defied this trend, coming from high draws in 17 and 16 – plus last year in gate 1.
However, looking at the slightly wider picture, 6 of the last 10 (60%) winners still fit squarely into that 2-8 bracket.
Digging a bit deeper into the stall stats, gates 7 and 8 boast a genuinely fantastic record, producing 6 of the last 24 winners – a 25% return.
Conversely, stall 1 is still the graveyard shift right now.
Horses drawn on the inside rail have massively struggled, with just two horses managing to place from the lowest berth in the last 18 renewals.
Recent Form: A Top 3 Finish is Essential
A top-three finish in a prep run is practically non-negotiable if you’re trying to find the winner. A massive 22 of the last 24 winners ticked this exact box.
Including last year’s winner Desert Flower, who won the bet365 Fillies’ Mile before winning the 1000 Guineas.
But a large chunk of the 2026 field will arrive with a top-three finish – so this 1000 Guineas trend isn’t going to help us much.
As a final note on recent form, last-time-out winners account for 58% (14/24) of victories, which is a solid, if not overly definitive, angle.
The Exposure Factor: Why 2-3 Previous Wins Matters
Finally, let’s talk about experience. With 16 of the last 24 winners having exactly 2 or 3 previous wins to their name, the 1000 Guineas has historically favoured slightly less exposed runners.
Which, if running, would knock out the fancied pair of Venetian Sun and Precise – who both have four wins to their name.
1000 Guineas Race Detail 2026
📅 Date: Sunday 3rd May 2026
⌚ Time: 3:35pm
🏇 Racecourse: Newmarket
🔄 Distance: 1 mile
💷 Winner’s prize: £297,728
📺 TV: ITV Racing / Racing TV
1000 Guineas Runners, Trainers and Betting Odds
- Precise 9/4 (Aidan O’Brien)
- Diamond Necklace 5/1 (Aidan O’Brien)
- Venetian Sun 6/1 (Karl Burke)
- True Love 7/1 (Aidan O’Brien)
- The Prettiest Star 14/1 (Ed Walker)
- Abashiri 16/1 (Charlie Appleby)
- Evolutionist 16/1 (Karl Burke)
- My Highness 16/1 (Andre Fabre)
- Touleen 16/1 (Owen Burrows)
- Inis Mor 20/1 (David Menuisier)
- Azleet 25/1 (Stuart Williams)
- Dart Hot Gallop 50/1 (James Tate)
- Esna 50/1 (Brian Meehan)
- Moments Of Joy 50/1 (Aidan O’Brien)
- Rose Ghaiyyath 50/1 (Richard Hughes)
- Spicy Marg 50/1 (Michael Bell)
- Timeforshowcasing 50/1 (Charlie Johnston)
- Venetian Lace 50/1 (Charlie Johnston)
- Mubasimah 66/1 (Andrew Balding)
- Venosa 66/1 (Aidan O’Brien)
- Silenciosa 100/1 (Tom Clover)
- Slaney View 100/1 (Jim Bolger)
- True Test 100/1 (William Knight)
Note: 1000 Guineas Betting Odds 2026 are subject to change and others on request (also see 2000 Guineas Betting Odds)
Recent 1000 Guineas Winners
- 2025 – Desert Flower (Evs)
- 2024 – Elmalka (28/1)
- 2023 – Mawj (9/1)
- 2022 – Cachet (16/1)
- 2021 – Mother Earth (10/1)
- 2020 – Love (4/1)
- 2019 – Hermosa (14/1)
- 2018 – Billesdon Brook (66/1)
- 2017 – Winter (9/1)
- 2016 – Minding (11/10 fav)
WATCH: Desert Flower Winning The 1000 Guineas in 2025
