Royal Ascot Trends and Stats for Day One (Tuesday, 16th June, 2026)

Kyle CurranKyle Curran· Updated
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Royal Ascot Trends and Stats for Day One (Tuesday, 16th June, 2026)

The biggest flat meeting of the summer is finally here so check out our Royal Ascot trends and stats for day one on Tuesday 16th June 2026. 

We’ve got top action from the Berkshire track on day one of Royal Ascot with seven live races.

There’s three Group 1s including the Queen Anne Stakes and St James’s Palace Stakes.

We also have the King Charles III  Stakes alongside a couple of hot handicaps and a Group 2 for two-year-olds. See the full schedule below.

  • 14:30 – Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1, 1m)
  • 15:05 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2, 6f) 
  • 15:40 – King Charles III Stakes (Group 1, 5f) 
  • 16:20 – St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1, 1m)
  • 17:00 – Ascot Stakes (Class 2, 2m4f)
  • 17:35 – Wolferton Stakes (Listed, 1m2f)
  • 18:10 – Copper Horse Stakes (Class 2, 1m6f) 

Royal Ascot Trends On Tuesday Including St James’s Palace Stakes Stats

See the Royal Ascot day one trends and stats below with all the action live on the ITV Racing schedule.

2:30 Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1, 1m)

See the Queen Anne Stakes trends below for the Royal Ascot opening race.

Recent Queen Anne Winners

  • 2025 – Docklands (14/1)
  • 2024 – Charyn (100/30 fav)
  • 2023 – Triple Time 33/1
  • 2022 – Baaeed (1/6 fav)
  • 2021 – Palace Pier (2/7 fav)
  • 2020 – Circus Maximus (4/1 fav)
  • 2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
  • 2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
  • 2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

  • 23/24 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 21/24 – Previous winners over 1 mile
  • 18/24 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 18/24 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
  • 17/24 – Won by a 4 year-old
  • 16/24 – Had already won a Group 1 race
  • 16/24 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 12/24 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
  • 11/24 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or owned by Godolphin (4)
  • 11/24 – Had never run at Ascot before
  • 10/24 – Won their previous race
  • 10/24 – Favourites that were unplaced
  • 9/24 – Winning favourites
  • Godolphin have won the race 8 times in total, but Charlie Appleby is yet to win the race
  • Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
  • 15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

15:05 – Coventry Stakes (Group 2, 6f) 

See the Coventry Stakes trends below for a fascinating renewal between the two-year-olds.

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – Gstaad (7/2 fav)
  • 2024 – Rashabar (80/1)
  • 2023 – River Tiber (11/8 fav)
  • 2022 – Bradsell (8/1)
  • 2021 – Berkshire Shadow (11/1)
  • 2020 – Nando Parrado (150/1)
  • 2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
  • 2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
  • 2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

  • 22/24 – Won their previous race
  • 22/24 – Had never raced at Ascot before
  • 21/24 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
  • 19/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 18/24 – Foaled in either Feb or March
  • 17/24 – Came from the top three in the betting
  • 14/24 – Won over 6f before
  • 12/24 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
  • 8/24 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
  • 8/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 in total)
  • 5/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of the last 15)
  • 2/24 – Trained by Richard Hannon
  • 2/24 – Won by a Jan foal
  • 15 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
  • 10 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

WATCH: Gstaad Wins 2025 Coventry Stakes

15:40 – King Charles III Stakes (Group 1, 5f)

See the King Charles III Stakes below for the hot 5f contest.

Recent King Charles III Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – American Affair (11/1)
  • 2024 – Asfoora (5/1)
  • 2023 – Bradsell (14/1)
  • 2022 – Nature Strip (9/4)
  • 2021 – Oxted (4/1)
  • 2020 – Battaash (5/6 fav)
  • 2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
  • 2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
  • 2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)

King Charles III Stakes Trends

  • 23/24 – Aged 7 or younger
  • 22/24 – Had won a Group race before
  • 20/24 – Aged 4 or older
  • 20/24 – Had won over 5f before
  • 17/24 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 14/24 – Finished first or second last time out
  • 14/24 – Had run at Ascot before (9 had won at the track)
  • 13/24 – Favourites placed
  • 13/24 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
  • 6/24 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
  • 7/24 – Favourites that finished third
  • 5/24 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
  • 4/24 – Winning favourites
  • 4/24 – 3 Year-old winners
  • A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 14 of the last 18 runnings
  • 3 of the last 8 winners stall 10
  • Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 9
  • Robert Cowell has won 2 of the last 15
  • 10 of the last 22 won by a non-UK trained horse

16:20 – St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1, 1m)

See the St James’s Palace Stakes trends below for the huge three-year-old Group 1.

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – Field Of Gold (8/11 fav)
  • 2024 – Rosallion (5/2)
  • 2023 – Paddington (11/5)
  • 2022 – Coroebus (10/11 fav)
  • 2021 – Poetic Flare (7/2 fav)
  • 2020 – Palace Pier (4/1)
  • 2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
  • 2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
  • 2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

  • 24/24 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 21/24 – Had won over a mile before
  • 20/24 – Favourites that were placed
  • 19/24 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
  • 19/24– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
  • 17/24 – Previous Group 1 winners
  • 17/24 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/24 – Won their previous race
  • 14/24 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
  • 13/24 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (10 won it)
  • 10/24 – Irish-trained winners
  • 7/24 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 total)
  • 7/24 – Had run at Ascot before
  • Just 4 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 18 runnings
  • 7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
  • 3 of the last 12 winners ridden by Ryan Moore
  • Trainer Richard Hannon has won 2 of the last 9
  • Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 9

17:00 – Ascot Stakes (Class 2, 2m4f)

See the Ascot Stakes trends for the interesting stayers handicap.

Recent Ascot Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – Ascending (20/1)
  • 2024 – Pledgeofallegiance (20/1)
  • 2023 – Ahorsewithnoname (7/1)
  • 2022 – Coltrane (14/1)
  • 2021 – Reshoun (66/1)
  • 2020 – Coeur De Lion (16/1)
  • 2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
  • 2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
  • 2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

  • 21/24 – Carried 8-13 or more
  • 18/24 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
  • 17/24 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
  • 17/24 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
  • 14/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 13/24 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
  • 11/24 – Won their previous race
  • 4/24 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of the last 14)
  • 3/24 – Trained by the Pipe stable
  • 3/24 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 14)
  • 3/24 – Winning favourites
  • 2/24 – Trained by Ian Williams
  • William Buick has ridden 2 of the last 5 winners
  • 2 of the last 6 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
  • Just two winners (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 18 runnings

WATCH: Ascending Wins 2026 Ascot Stakes

17:35 – Wolferton Stakes (Listed, 1m2f)

See the Wolferton Stakes trends below for the listed 10 furlong race.

Recent Wolferton Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – Haatem (8/1)
  • 2024 – Israr (11/4 fav)
  • 2023 – Royal Champion (16/1)
  • 2022 – Dubai Future (20/1)
  • 2021 – Juan Elcano (14/1)
  • 2020 – Mountain Angel (8/1)
  • 2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
  • 2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
  • 2017 – Snoano (25/1)

Wolferton Stakes Trends

  • 18/23 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
  • 17/23 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
  • 16/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
  • 15/23 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
  • 14/23 – Aged 4 years-old
  • 14/23 – Had run at Ascot before
  • 11/23 – Unplaced favourites
  • 11/23 – Returned a double-figure price
  • 7/23 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
  • 5/23 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of last 15)
  • 4/23 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
  • 3/23 – Winning favourites
  • 15 of the last 20 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
  • 5 of the last 10 winners came from stall 5
  • 9 of the last 11 winners aged 4 or 5

18:10 – Copper Horse Stakes (Class 2, 1m6f) 

See the Copper Horse Stakes trends for the big-field handicap to end the day – note: only six runnings have taken place.

Recent Copper Horse Stakes Winners

  • 2025 – French Master (5/2f)
  • 2024 – Belloccio (4/1)
  • 2023 – Vauban (Evs)
  • 2022 – Get Shirty (16/1)
  • 2021 – Amtiyaz (33/1)
  • 2020 – Fujaira Prince (3/1fav)

Copper Horse Stakes Trends

  • 6/6 – Carried 9-1 or more
  • 6/6 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-8
  • 6/6 – Aged between 4-6 (3 winners aged 6)
  • 3/6 – Winning favourite
  • Trainer Willie Mullins won this race in 2023 and 2024
  • Trainer David O’Meara won this race in 2022
  • Trainer John Gosden won this race in 2021 and 2025
  • Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020

 

Kyle Curran is a horse racing journalist with years of experience covering top events in the calendar. He has an eye for a strong form line and has a particular love for the jumps. When not writing about the sport he loves, Kyle can be found travelling around the top horse racing meetings around the UK and Ireland. Kyle also specialises in PR and Exclusive Interviews.

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