Four days have passed at the summer’s biggest meeting so check out our Royal Ascot day five trends and stats for a cracking Saturday card.
We’ve got another seven races to look forward to on Saturday including four Group races.
See the full ITV Racing schedule below.
- 14:30 – Norfolk Stakes (Group 2, 5f)
- 15:05 – Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2, 1m4f)
- 15:40 – Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1, 6f)
- 16:20 – Jersey Stakes (Group 3, 7f)
- 17:00 – Wokingham Stakes (Class 2, 6f)
- 17:35 – Golden Gates Stakes (Class 2, 1m2f)
- 18:10 – Queen Alexandra Stakes (Class 2, 2m 5 1/2f)
Royal Ascot Day Five Trends & Stats – Saturday 20th June
There’s plenty to look forward to on Day Five of Royal Ascot, so find trends for all seven races below.
14:30 – Norfolk Stakes (Group 2, 5f)
See the Norfolk stakes recent winners below
Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Charles Darwin (8/13 fav)
- 2024 – Shareholder (12/1)
- 2023 – Valiant Force (150/1)
- 2022 – The Ridler (50/1)
- 2021 – Perfect Power (14/1)
- 2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
- 2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
- 2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
- 2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
Norfolk Stakes Trends
- 23/23 – Had at least 1 previous run
- 21/23 – Previous winners over 5f
- 21/23 – Had never raced at Ascot before
- 19/23 – Had a RPR of 105+
- 18/23 – Won their previous race
- 16/23 – Foaled in March or April
- 13/23 – Favourites placed
- 12/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 8/23 – Returned a double-figure (or triple) price
- 4/23 – Winning favourites
- 3/23 – Ran at Windsor last time out
- 3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 2/23 – Trained by Wesley Ward
- 9 of the last 10 winners drawn 10 or lower
- Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 11 winners (4 in total)
- Richard Fahey have won 2 of the last 5 runnings
- 11 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
- The Hannon yard have won the race 4 times
15:05 – Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2, 1m4f)
See the Hardwicke Stakes trends and recent winners below.
Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Rebel’s Romance (6/4 fav)
- 2024 – Isle Of Jura (16/1)
- 2023 – Pyledriver (7/2)
- 2022 – Broome (6/1)
- 2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
- 2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
- 2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
- 2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
- 2017 – Idaho (9/2)
Hardwicke Stakes Trends
- 23/23 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
- 22/23 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
- 20/23 – Placed last time out
- 20/23 – Had won over 1m4f before
- 16/23 – Had run at Ascot before
- 15/23 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- 15/23 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
- 14/23 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 15 winners)
- 12/23 – Placed favourites
- 12/23 – Won their previous race
- 8/23 – Winning favourites
- 7/23 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
- 6/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)
- 6/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
- 16 of the last 20 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
- 14 of the last 20 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
- Just one winner aged 7+ since 1923 (Rebel’s Romance, 2025)
- 9 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
WATCH: Rebels Romance Wins 2025 Hardwicke
15:40 – Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1, 6f)
See the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes recent winners and trends below.
QEII Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Naval Crown (33/1)
- 2024 – Khaadem (14/1)
- 2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
- 2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
- 2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
- 2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
- 2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
- 2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
- 2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
QEII Jubilee Stakes Trends
- 20/23 – Previous distance (6f) winners
- 20/23 – Previous Group Race winners
- 18/23 – Had run at Ascot before
- 17/23 – Aged 5 or younger
- 17/23 – Failed to win their last race
- 16/23 – Won by a UK-based yard
- 12/23 – Returned a double-figure price
- 11/23 – Unplaced favourites
- 6/23 – Ran in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting
- 5/23 – Winning favourite (joint)
- 2/23 – Trained by James Fanshawe
- 9 of the last 21 winners were Irish-bred
- 10 of the last 21 winners came from a low-figure draw
- No winner from stall 1 in the last 21 runnings
- 10 of the last 21 winners returned a double-figure price
- 2 of the last 3 winners trained by Charles Hills
- 3 of the last 7 winners trained by Charlie Appleby
- Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 10
- James Doyle has ridden 3 of the last 7
16:20 – Jersey Stakes (Group 3, 7f)
See the Jersey Stakes recent winners and trends below.
Jersey Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Noble Champion (25/1)
- 2024 – Haatem (7/2)
- 2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
- 2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
- 2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
- 2020 – Molatham (11/2)
- 2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
- 2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
- 2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
Jersey Stakes Trends
- 22/24 – Had at least 1 run already that season
- 20/24 – Had 4 or more career runs
- 15/24 – Had won over 7f before
- 14/24 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
- 12/24 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 11/24 – Had run at Ascot before
- 10/24 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
- 9/24 – Horses from stall 8 placed
- 9/24 – Unplaced favourites
- 9/24 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 6/24 – Won their previous race
- 5/24 – Winning favourites
- 3/24 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 14)
- 2/23 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 5 runnings)
- The Irish have won 4 of the last 14 runnings
- The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 18 runnings
WATCH: Noble Champion Wins 2025 Jersey
NOBLE CHAMPION IS THE JERSEY STAKES HERO! #ROYALASCOT pic.twitter.com/byzYHkfV2m
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) June 21, 2025
17:00 – Wokingham Stakes (Class 2, 6f)
See the Wokingham Stakes recent winners and trends below.
Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Get It (28/1)
- 2024 – Unequal Love (12/1)
- 2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
- 2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
- 2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
- 2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
- 2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
- 2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
- 2017 – Out Do (25/1)
Wokingham Stakes Trends
- 26/26 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
- 24/26 – Had no more than 4 runs that season
- 24/26 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
- 23/26 – Had won a race over 6f before
- 22/26 – Finished sixth or better last time out
- 21/26 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 17/26 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
- 17/26 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
- 16/26 – Had run at Ascot before (9 had won here)
- 13/26 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
- 8/26 – Won their previous race
- 5/26 – Won by the favourite
- 13 of the last 20 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
- 11 of the last 20 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
- 15 of the last 20 winners came from a double-figure draw
- 14 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall
- 11 of the last 15 runnings – the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls
- Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 15 runnings
- Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
- Since 1980 there have been 36 winners returning a double-figure price
- The Cole yard has won the race 3 times
17:35 – Golden Gates Stakes (Class 2, 1m2f)
See the Golden Gates trends below (just six runnings)
- Just the 6 previous runnings
- Quai De Bethune (12/1) won this race in 2025
- Hand Of God (9/4 fav) won this race in 2024
- Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
- Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
- Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
- Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
- Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2025
- Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024
- Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
- Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
- Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
- 5 of the last 6 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)
18:10 – Queen Alexandra Stakes (Class 2, 2m 5 1/2f)
See the Queen Alexandra Stakes recent winners and trends below.
Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners
- 2025 – Sober (4/5 fav)
- 2024 – Uxmal (2/1 fav)
- 2023 – Dawn Rising (2/1 fav)
- 2022 – Stratum (10/1)
- 2021 – Stratum (4/1)
- 2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
- 2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
- 2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
- 2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
Queen Alexandra Stakes Trends
- 18/23 – Finished unplaced last time out
- 15/23 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
- 13/23 – Had run at Ascot before
- 13/23 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
- 10/23 – Won by a NH yard
- 10/23 – Irish-trained winners
- 7/23 – Winning favourites
- 5/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 16)
- 4/23 – Trained by Willie Mullins (5 of last 14)
- 2/23 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 11)
- 2/23 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 13)
- 2/23 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 10)
- 2/23 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (2 of the last 3)
- 15 of the last 20 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
- 13 of the last 20 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
- 12 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure stall
