---
title: "TWO Big Scottish Grand National Stats Favourite Kim Roque Needs To OVERCOME"
canonical: "https://readhorseracing.com/2026/04/18/scottish-grand-national-stats-ayr/"
type: "post"
language: "en-GB"
author: "Andy Newton"
section: "News"
published: "2026-04-18T05:00:48Z"
modified: "2026-04-18T05:47:29Z"
---

# TWO Big Scottish Grand National Stats Favourite Kim Roque Needs To OVERCOME

**The Joseph O’Brien-trained KIM ROQUE has been popular in the betting for Saturday’s Scottish Grand National – but those siding with him might want to know about some key stats he’ll need to overcome.**

## **Last Scottish Grand National Outright Favourite Was In 1999**

![](https://media.readhorseracing.com/readhorseracing/2026/04/NEW-BANBRIDGE.png)As it stands, Kim Roque is the expected [Scottish Grand National](https://readhorseracing.com/2026/04/17/scottish-grand-national-runners-jockey-colours-profiles-star-ratings/) jolly for Saturday’s big Ayr race.

Of, course, in a tight betting market a lot can still change.

However, if Kim Roque holds his ground at the head of the market – there is some bad news.

The last winning Scottish Grand National **OUTRIGHT** favourite was Young Kenny in 1999.

Yes, since 2017 we’ve seen Win My Wins (co-fav), Kitty’s Light (j-fav) and Vicente (j-fav) land the race.

But the last jolly outright to take the [Scottish Grand National prize money](https://readhorseracing.com/2026/04/14/scottish-grand-national-prize-money/) was over 25 years ago.

Suggesting to that this race has been a hard one for punters to get right.

Or, to combat this – the trends bashers out there will also say – we’ll *“we are due one then”.*

Both could be right, of course, – but the fact remains Young Kenny winning as the 5/2 [Scottish Grand National favourite](https://readhorseracing.com/2026/04/16/scottish-grand-national-favourite-ayr/) in 1999 is still the most recent.

## **Scottish Grand National Stats Suggest Kim Roque Might Be Too Young**

Next up is the age – as Kim Roque is still a young horse at only 6.

Okay, we saw a winning 6yold just a few years ago when the Willie Mullins-trained MacDermott flew the flag for the youngsters.

And to counteract this [Scottish Grand National trend](https://readhorseracing.com/2026/04/17/scottish-grand-national-trends-ayr/) – we have only seen five horses aged 6 run in the race since 2016.

But over the 22 runnings of the race, we’ve still seen a massive 18 winners aged 8+.

Which is a 82% return over this period.

And with the top FIVE in the betting at the moment – **Kim Roque, King Of Answers, Montregard** and **Quebecois** – all aged 7 or younger, this bunch will all have this to overcome too.

## **Other Scottish Grand National Stats Kim Roque Needs To Overcome**

Kim Roque also falls down on a few other Scottish Grand National stats – not quite has hefty as the favourite and age ones – but still worth a mention.

As 15 of the last 22 winners (68%) also finished in the top 3 last time out.

And had also won over 3m+ before too.

Kim Roque was 4th last time, albeit staying on (watch below) in the Kim Muir.

While his sole career chase win came over 2m 3 1/2f in France.

He’s now up to 4m and is still to win a race outside of France since joining the Joseph O’Brien camp (4 runs).

Of course, all horse racing stats are there to be shot at and broken – but these are still four big trends Kim Rogue has to overcome if he’s to land the race on Saturday.

### **WATCH: Kim Roque Running 4th In The Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival**

[Ask Brewster strikes in Kim Muir | Full Race | Cheltenham Festival 2026 | Racing TV (embedded)](https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/VlXCoLZjn-w?feature=oembed)

## **Scottish Grand National Betting Odds 2026**

- KIM ROQUE 11/2
- KING OF ANSWERS 6/1
- CHASINGOUTTHEBLUES 7/1
- GIT MAKER 11/1
- PROMONTORY 11/1
- ISAAC DES OBEAUX 11/1
- MONTREGARD 17/2
- QUEBECOIS 11/1
- ASK BREWSTER 18/1
- KAP VERT 18/1
- MAXIMILIAN 20/1
- BLAZE THE WAY 22/1
- HERAKLES WESTWOOD 22/1
- KATATE DORI 25/1
- OUR POWER 33/1
- FAMOUS BRIDGE 33/1
- GABBYS CROSS 33/1
- COLLECTORS ITEM 50/1
- MAGNA SAM 80/1
- STOLEN SILVER 125/1

*Note: Odds listed are subject to change*

## **Scottish Grand National Date 2026****🗓️**

📅 Date: Saturday, April 18th 2026\
⌚ Time: 3:35pm\
🏇 Racecourse: Ayr\
🔄 Trip: 4m\
💷 Winner: £112,540\
📺 TV: [ITV Racing](https://readhorseracing.com/2026/03/14/itv-racing-schedule-today-weekly-Saturday/) / Racing TV